Bitcoin Turning Lower

Following a breakout move to fresh all-time highs last week, Bitcoin prices have drifted lower this week with BTC futures down around 6% from those highs. Across that push to new highs Bitcoin trading saw record volume with the market recording around $3.4 billion in open interest. Institutional interest has been a major driver of this surge in volume with BTC ETFs seeing a strong 10-day streak of net-inflows amidst news that Trump Media is planning a private Bitcoin treasury with a $2.5 billion offering.

Bitcoin & BOE

While pro-Bitcoin sentiment has been on the rise over the last year in the US, we’re now seeing similar interest on the other side of the pond. Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK has noted that the party will now accept donations in Bitcoin, echoing the moves made by Trump over his presidential campaign. Similarly, Farage has said that (if in power) he will make the Bank of England hold Bitcoin in its reserves.

US Trade Talks

For now, however it seems that Bitcoin is taking its cues from the broader risk tone as investors react with uncertainty to recent trade developments. An appeals court yesterday granted the White House a temporary suspension of the federal court ruling against Trump’s trade tariffs thwarting optimism that tariffs would be ended. This came as the same time as US treasury secretary Bessent noted that trade talks between the US and China have stalled. While this remains the case, BTC has room to drift lower as traders await a fresh breakthrough between the US and China.

Technical Views

BTC

The latest failure at the $108,855 level risks a deeper correction lower in BTC. With momentum studies turning bearish, focus is on a test of support at the key $100k mark. Bulls need to defend this area to keep the broader bull outlook in focus or risk a test of deeper support at the $91,750 level.